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Is refrigerant market "rewarming"?
Publisher:admin Issued on:2020-05-29

Recently, the market of refrigerants industry is sluggish, the market price remains low, and the situation of cold in peak season continues to perform. On the one hand, the major air conditioning manufacturers carried out periodic maintenance in August, which gradually reduced the overall demand for refrigerants, and the price continued to decline; on the other hand, the hydrofluoric acid Market and the refrigerant industry had no obvious positive support, resulting in poor upstream demand, which brought a certain negative impact on the domestic fluorite market. It is expected that the domestic fluorite price will continue to decline slightly in the later period.


R22: low downstream demand


In August, domestic refrigerant R22 production enterprises had stable installation, increased supply and demand, and manufacturers kept reducing prices under pressure, which has gradually reached the bottom. In addition, the market transaction environment is weak, and the price continues to decline slightly. The transaction price of East China market is concentrated at 15000-15500 yuan / ton. The reasons are as follows: firstly, the manufacturers are forced to reduce the start-up due to the pressure of shipment and inventory, and the market supply has decreased compared with the previous period; secondly, the demand for after-sales is difficult to improve, and the enterprises' profit margin is obvious, and the business is pessimistic. It is expected that the short-term refrigerant R22 market will remain stable and weak.


R134a: no good news support


In addition to the sluggish downstream demand of R22 and the weak market, the downstream demand of domestic refrigerant R134a in the third quarter was also poor, the market continued to decline, the raw material end transaction was not strong, there was no good support for refrigerant R134a, and the terminal demand was sluggish; Moreover, the downstream has an obvious wait-and-see attitude and just needs to take goods. R134a manufacturers are under pressure to reduce the price and benefit the shipment. At present, the market price is mostly concentrated in the range of 25000-28000 yuan / ton.


In terms of supply, the production enterprises started stable, and the market supply of goods was stable; in terms of demand, the downstream demand was weaker, and the manufacturers were forced by the pressure of shipment, and the phenomenon of profit margin shipment was obvious; in terms of raw materials, the prices of upstream raw materials fell, and there was no good news to support the refrigerant market. Overall, the new capacity of refrigerant R134a entered the market, and the future market was pessimistic.


R410A: no improvement in demand


In the third quarter, the domestic refrigerant R410A market was mostly negative news, and the overall market was not optimistic. In terms of supply, the manufacturer's production is stable and the market supply is stable. In terms of demand, after-sales demand has not improved in the off-season of air-conditioning production; in terms of raw materials, the market of hydrofluoric acid is relatively cold and the price falls, which does not boost the refrigerant market. At the same time, the prices of R32 and R125 are also unsatisfactory. It is expected that the short-term refrigerant R410A market will continue to weaken.


It is worth mentioning that with the gradual progress of refrigerant to HFC, the environmental concern in refrigerant selection has shifted from ozone depletion to global warming potential. Although the refrigerant R410A used in most variable frequency air conditioners does not destroy the ozone layer, it is a super greenhouse gas, which aggravates the greenhouse effect. Therefore, R410A, a hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) R410A, as a transitional alternative, has been added to the "blacklist" of reductions by the Kigali amendment to the Montreal Protocol.


With the continuation of global warming trend, all walks of life need to actively respond to the call of national energy conservation and environmental protection. Environment friendly is very important for the development of air conditioning industry. For air conditioning enterprises, accelerating the process of refrigerant replacement has become the industry consensus. Although the market of refrigerant industry is in a low state at present, in the future, under the dual pressure of domestic and international policies, China's air conditioning industry is expected to usher in an accelerated replacement period of refrigerants.


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